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geek GIP - Blather, Rinse, Repeat
June 29th, 2007
11:43 pm

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geek GIP
A new way to measure how much of a geek I am: I have a favorite Transformer. I already had one LJ icon of my favorite Transformer. No, it wasn't recognizable, but we're dealing with a 100x100 canvas. (Some people have talent at making 100x100 less constraining of a limitation - not me.)

The real measure, though, is that I now have 3 LJ icons of my favorite Transformer.

(sigh)


In other news, my neighbor across the street's got a bunch of friends that get together to play poker once a month or so - $10 to $15 buy-in, Texas Hold-em. Sometimes, there are 6 people, a few months ago, we had two tables of 6 each. Typically, somewhere in between.

I'm not a good poker player, so I've treated these evenings as a means to teach myself practical mathematics, and to hang out with real human beings in a real social situation. But, I've been learning.

Today I played with these folks, and developed an early chip lead, which I subsequently squandered. I ended up taking 3rd prize, which paid my buy-in, and put me $5 ahead. Minus the $8 for snacks for the evening, it was a pretty cheap - and pleasant - night out.

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[User Picture]
From:ginsu
Date:June 30th, 2007 04:19 pm (UTC)
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I've treated these evenings as a means to teach myself practical mathematics

A familiar goal.

This sort of thing would come up more often in your life if you were more promiscuous. Example: Assume a form of birth control is 99% successful any single time it's used. How many times can one use it before the collective probability of failure hits 50%?

I was surprised by the answer.
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From:tsmaster
Date:June 30th, 2007 04:26 pm (UTC)
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Because I'm drawn to story problems, I worked this out just now. As a Public Service, I report that

68 iterations => 50.49% chance of no failures
69 iterations => 49.98% chance of no failures

I'm sure the number 69 is surprisingly low, and also a surprisingly easy to remember number if you want to keep this particular application of math in mind.
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From:ginsu
Date:June 30th, 2007 04:53 pm (UTC)
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Indeed-io. Probability theory is, in my opinion, the post-arithmetic form of math which is most useful in daily life; even when you lack the tools for quantified analysis, you get a strong intuitive ability to assess risk. If more Americans understood it, they'd be afraid of cigarettes, cars, and type II diabetes... and terrorists? Not so much.
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